Series details
|
Available item(s) in this series (1)
Add the result to your basket Make a suggestion Refine your search
Uncertain judgements / John Wiley & Sons (2006)
Title : Uncertain judgements : eliciting experts' probabilities Material Type: Book Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Publication Date: 2006 Series: Statistics in practice Pagination: xiii, 321 p. ISBN (or other code): 978-0-470-02999-2 Price: 68 EUR General note: Glossaire. Bibliogr. p.267-306. Index. Languages : English (eng) Keywords: Management
STATISTICS ; MATHEMATICAL STATISTICSAbstract: Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the
risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples.
This is achieved by:
Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.
Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.
Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.
Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.
Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms.
An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.Record link: https://cataloguelibrary.neoma-bs.fr/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=156006 Copies (1)
Barcode Call number Media type Location Section Status 044868 519.5/UNC Livre Library Campus de Reims Salle de lecture Due for return by 03/20/2020
LIBRARY - Campus Rouen
NEOMA Business School
pmb
-
59 Rue Taittinger, 51100 Reims
-
00 33 (0)3 26 77 46 15
Library Campus Reims
-
1 Rue du Maréchal Juin, BP 215
76825 Mont Saint Aignan cedex -
00 33 (0)2 32 82 58 26